markjgsmith

2023/08/29 #

• cat << EOF > Very long timescales

  We are enterring a new era where the timescales we have to consider for practical purposes when we build our software systems are much much longer than anything previously. And this is going to be very strange. Lots of narly edge cases and counter intuitive situations. The new Wordpress 100-year plan is an example of this. Long term nuclear waste storage is also an example that is related.

  From the linkblog 2023-08-27:

  Wordpress: The 100-Year Plan - "The 100-Year Plan ensures that your stories, achievements, and memories are preserved for generations to come. One payment. One hundred years of legacy. US$38,000." - It just so happens to be $1 per day, which means even if you only had 1 customer you might just be able to pull it off. What a curious price, don't you think?

  With that in mind the lastest Duncan Trussell Podcast with Mitch Horowitz is very interesting. Of course it's quite far out there in a lot of places, but like it or not, this stuff is the prior art and we should consider it in some way, because these questions that we need solves for are very challenging indeed. Much more challenging than we realise at this point. Being practical at timescales that approach a human lifespan is very difficult indeed.

  You have to start thinking generationally, and we haven't really even started building tools and processes for that. This is especially the case for free and open source software, which doesn't really have many parallels in our past. You might think that it's not that relevant, that these are outliers, but when you look at the technologies we are developing in the biology and life sciences sector for example, IMO these types of dilemas are going to start cropping up much more frequently.

  Update: I just listenned to the latest Bankess podcast. Not much else to add at this point, but it's clearly very relevant. This stuff is very complicated even before considering the very long timescale implications.

  • The Superchain Explained with Jesse Pollock & Ben Jones Ep#185 (Bankless Podcast)

  It's like we are all climbing a cliff together. It's potentially very dangerous but with the right process and equipment many of the dangers can be mitigated.

  EOF

• How much worse? - Quite a lot of people are worried about the prospect of the metaverse, where we spend all day with a mask strapped to our faces. I wonder whether the lesson here is that that's not far off what we are already doing. How much worse is it than staring at a monitor / laptop screen all day long? It can literally be measured in centimeters. #

• I've had this quote going around in my head that I heard David Sachs mention on the All-in podcast last week.

  "We know they are lying, they know they are lying, they know we know they are lying, we know they know we know they are lying, but they are still lying." – Attributed to Aleksandr Isayevich Solzhenitsyn

  It's heck of a quote, made all the more viceral by the picture of a Solzhenitsyn juxtaposed. #

Today’s links:

• 🚀 New Post: Very long timescales - A new era is begining where we need to consider very long timescales when building software. Lots of strange things to consider, especially in free and open source software. markjgsmith.com #